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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpnotfairplayprimm
Record (consensus markets)52% (6493–6083, n=12576)19% (106–447, n=553)50% (1120–1127, n=2247)
Consensus PnL$3.7M-$4.5K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #13was PM monthly #752PM monthly #50
Sides with the consensus69% (215 of 311 open)no open consensus position61% (11 of 18 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Crypto −6 pts, n=545—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%19% of 545 at avg 25¢, ROI −9%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)68% (won 7% of 371)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 33% of 112)41% (won 99% of 418)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)9% (won 55% of 51)49% (won 99% of 504)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)2% (won 91% of 11)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.