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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677notfairplayprimm
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)45% (10–12, n=22)19% (109–452, n=561)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$5.3M-$3.7K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #2was PM monthly #752PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus67% (198 of 297 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position77% (10 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −6 pts, n=545—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%19% of 545 at avg 25¢, ROI −9%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)68% (won 7% of 371)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 33% of 112)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)9% (won 55% of 51)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)2% (won 91% of 11)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677notfairplayprimm
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee $1.2K——Middle Tennessee $5.1K