Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1xxNyx
Record (consensus markets)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)43% (10–13, n=23)63% (1095–632, n=1727)86% (1782–293, n=2075)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.3M$4.6M$88K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #114Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus73% (134 of 183 open)no open consensus position73% (73 of 100 open)92% (55 of 60 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147Tech −1 pts, n=56
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%81% of 1891 at avg 79¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)13% (won 9% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)5% (won 52% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)6% (won 57% of 109)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)76% (won 97% of 1440)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1xxNyx
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $543——Yes $3.0K