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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677longliveapplesprimm
Record (consensus markets)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)43% (10–13, n=23)60% (424–287, n=711)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.3M$19K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #873PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus67% (75 of 112 open)no open consensus position74% (46 of 62 open)55% (6 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—Esports −8 pts, n=25—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%59% of 343 at avg 47¢, ROI +12%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)26% (won 28% of 88)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)33% (won 46% of 112)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)19% (won 82% of 65)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)23% (won 94% of 78)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.