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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpglhfggjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)65% (636–342, n=978)45% (10–12, n=22)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$57K$5.3M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #11was PM monthly #780PM monthly #2PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus65% (99 of 153 open)33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position50% (5 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Crypto +6 pts n=127, ROI +1%
  • Finance +5 pts n=88, ROI +1%
  • NFL +4 pts n=82, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15College Football −14 pts, n=31——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%52% of 904 at avg 51¢, ROI −2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)35% (won 8% of 318)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)9% (won 43% of 79)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)15% (won 58% of 140)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)41% (won 90% of 367)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpglhfggjoseph00677primm
West Virginia vs. Texas Tech
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
West Virginia $108——Texas Tech $2.4K
Texas State vs. Oregon State
same side · consensus Texas State
Texas State $420——Texas State $12K
Hawai'i vs. UTEP
same side · consensus Hawai'i
Hawai'i $470——Hawai'i $11K