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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpLeopoldAschenboogerndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)no settled market63% (1095–631, n=1726)50% (1244–1255, n=2499)
Consensus PnL$4.1M-$47K$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #10was PM monthly #899PM monthly #118PM monthly #56
Sides with the consensus76% (188 of 248 open)11% (1 of 9 open)71% (70 of 98 open)68% (13 of 19 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)—13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)—19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)—23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)—44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpLeopoldAschenboogerndb1primm
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Dolphins $165——Lions $47K
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4K—No $41—
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $5.1K——Chiefs $49K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $190——Colts $5.1K
Rams vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Rams
Commanders $221——Commanders $221