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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | J-E-R | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6434–6029, n=12463) | 44% (164–208, n=372) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $40K | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #418 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #52 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (144 of 196 open) | 86% (62 of 72 open) | 71% (52 of 73 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Elections −1 pts, n=78 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 28% of 377 at avg 27¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 70% (won 4% of 263) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 41% (won 99% of 418) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 6% (won 70% of 23) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 49% (won 99% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 20% (won 92% of 76) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | J-E-R | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $675 | Yes $1.9K | — |