Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHomeRunHazardpereira12
Record (consensus markets)71% (2793–1168, n=3961)52% (590–548, n=1138)67% (2–1, n=3)
Consensus PnL$519K$400K$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #9PM monthly #891
Sides with the consensus46% (57 of 125 open)69% (35 of 51 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=564——
Settled positions, side won42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%—
Entries under 30¢42% (won 5% of 495)2% (won 100% of 5)—
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 39% of 266)31% (won 100% of 84)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 134)60% (won 100% of 161)—
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 94% of 296)7% (won 100% of 20)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHomeRunHazardpereira12
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $174Chiefs $8.7K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $303Vikings $6.7K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $629Seahawks $1.5K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49Colts $2.0K—