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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Flaznorp | Haradwaith | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6543–6108, n=12651) | 39% (3348–5215, n=8563) | 45% (10–12, n=22) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | -$473K | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #252 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (195 of 270 open) | 74% (554 of 752 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Weather −6 pts, n=584 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 36% of 4042 at avg 39¢, ROI −2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 56% (won 3% of 2267) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 4% (won 33% of 170) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 4% (won 48% of 166) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 36% (won 89% of 1439) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee opposite sides · consensus Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee $1.2K | Western Kentucky $555 | — |
| Fresno State vs. Utah State opposite sides · consensus Fresno State | Utah State $4 | Fresno State $495 | — |