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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6455–6056, n=12511) | 39% (3321–5092, n=8413) | 45% (10–12, n=22) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | -$469K | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #229 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 69% (116 of 168 open) | 70% (490 of 700 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $409K | — | Yes $361 | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $78K | — | No $4.2K | — |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | — | No $372 | — |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12K | — | Yes $3 | — |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.3K | — | No $124 | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25K | — | Yes $79 | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $18K | — | Yes $14 | — |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.3K | — | Yes $120 | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $2.4K | — | No $69 | — |