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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpG.Hchenjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)68% (349–161, n=510)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$69K$5.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #17PM monthly #626PM monthly #1PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus64% (150 of 235 open)59% (37 of 63 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Finance −27 pts, n=10——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%69% of 499 at avg 56¢, ROI +15%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 26% of 66)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)23% (won 59% of 117)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)34% (won 79% of 171)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)29% (won 86% of 145)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpG.Hchenjoseph00677primm
Ball State vs. UMass
opposite sides · consensus UMass
UMass $444——Ball State $18