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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| FakeMadrid | ferrariChampions2026 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (929–646, n=1575) | 43% (11687–15248, n=26935) | 47% (1389–1566, n=2955) | 48% (19424–21150, n=40574) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.2M | -$9.5M | $3.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 60% (6 of 10 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (18 of 29 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | MLB −5 pts, n=43 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 1496 at avg 57¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 16% of 132) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 47% of 428) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 62% of 526) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 85% of 410) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | FakeMadrid | ferrariChampions2026 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter | — | Alafia Ayeni $234 | — | Edward Winter $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette same side · consensus Janice Tjen | — | Janice Tjen $34K | — | Janice Tjen $54K |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh | — | Keisuke Saitoh $38 | — | Keisuke Saitoh $13K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 |