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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FakeMadridFlaznorpjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)59% (910–629, n=1539)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)
Consensus PnL$1.3M$3.7M$5.3M$3.6M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #13PM monthly #2PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (213 of 316 open)no open consensus position77% (10 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +8 pts n=259, ROI +4%
  • NFL +24 pts n=17, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +2 pts n=862, ROI +2%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicMLB −1 pts, n=39Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won60% of 1462 at avg 57¢, ROI +2%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 16% of 131)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢28% (won 48% of 414)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 62% of 512)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 85% of 405)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFakeMadridFlaznorpjoseph00677primm
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Middle Tennessee $1.2K—Middle Tennessee $5.1K