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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ExoticApple12Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)50% (1153–1168, n=2321)52% (6565–6142, n=12707)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL$220K$3.7M$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #398PM monthly #13PM monthly #97
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)68% (181 of 265 open)70% (55 of 79 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +49 pts n=261, ROI +49%
  • NHL +47 pts n=147, ROI +44%
  • Soccer +45 pts n=267, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won98% of 1175 at avg 52¢, ROI +44%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 93% of 40)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 98% of 403)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢55% (won 98% of 647)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 85)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketExoticApple12Flaznorpndb1
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.3KUnder $31K