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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| End123 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (277–146, n=423) | 52% (6434–5955, n=12389) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 65% (901–484, n=1385) |
| Consensus PnL | -$17K | $3.3M | $5.3M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #796 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #100 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (37 of 40 open) | 73% (131 of 180 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (106 of 151 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −18 pts, n=18 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 422 at avg 63¢, ROI −1% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 11% of 57) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 42% of 43) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 63% of 132) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 45% (won 86% of 190) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | End123 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jaylen Waddle have 674.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $364 | — | — | No $505 |
| Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt have 574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $149 | — | — | No $529 |
| Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? same side · consensus No | No $653 | — | — | No $243 |
| Will the season series between the Cardinals and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25 | — | — | Yes $257 |