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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ElonSpam | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (1541–2183, n=3724) | 43% (11687–15248, n=26935) | 64% (1101–632, n=1733) | 48% (19424–21150, n=40574) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | -$9.5M | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #915 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (15 of 18 open) | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 73% (75 of 103 open) | 55% (17 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −24 pts, n=16 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 3394 at avg 46¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 8% of 1203) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 38% of 503) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 58% of 768) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 91% of 920) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ElonSpam | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $1.7K |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | — | Coco Gauff $71K | — | Coco Gauff $56K |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh | — | Keisuke Saitoh $31K | — | Keisuke Saitoh $45K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 |
| Matsuyama: Sho Katayama vs Shintaro Imai same side · consensus Shintaro Imai | — | Sho Katayama $187 | — | Sho Katayama $29 |