PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
EMCSQColdWRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)no settled market66% (1767–904, n=2671)48% (11699–12474, n=24173)63% (375–219, n=594)
Consensus PnL—$235K$13.4M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #533was PM monthly #893Hand-pickedPM monthly #156
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)59% (22 of 37 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=310——
Settled positions, side won74% of 677 at avg 67¢, ROI +11%58% of 2474 at avg 56¢, ROI +4%94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 20% of 164)22% (won 12% of 551)10% (won 56% of 2460)9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 62% of 39)20% (won 41% of 495)22% (won 94% of 5335)55% (won 99% of 209)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 72% of 64)22% (won 63% of 534)36% (won 99% of 8653)34% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 70¢ and up61% (won 97% of 410)36% (won 93% of 894)31% (won 100% of 7361)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEMCSQColdWRN1CORGII
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
same side · consensus TheMongolz
——TheMongolz $12KTheMongolz $32K