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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Donghuinigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)no settled market55% (389–318, n=707)61% (48–31, n=79)
Consensus PnL—$445K$659K
Tracked asPM monthly #444PM monthly #104PM monthly #15 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)45% (30 of 66 open)60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—14% (won 33% of 73)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 56% of 125)33% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—43% (won 69% of 226)44% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 98% of 96)21% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDonghuinigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $11KSpirit $402MOUZ $105K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
—Bilibili Gaming $1.1KGen.G $95K
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
—Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333KLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Falcons
—Team Falcons $975Team Falcons $135K
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Gen.G $241Gen.G $44K