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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| DavidShekel | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 32% (400–859, n=1259) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1127–1147, n=2274) | 48% (14338–15838, n=30176) |
| Consensus PnL | $133K | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #376 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (22 of 29 open) | 70% (55 of 79 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 60% (25 of 42 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −3 pts, n=19 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 77% of 624 at avg 65¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 18% of 143) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 77% of 35) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 88% of 94) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 99% of 352) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | DavidShekel | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? same side · consensus No | No $192 | No $173 | — | — |