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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DavidShekelferrariChampions2026joseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)34% (619–1224, n=1843)44% (11377–14474, n=25851)43% (10–13, n=23)63% (1095–631, n=1726)
Consensus PnL$148K-$8.8M$3.3M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #404was PM monthly #87PM monthly #8PM monthly #118
Sides with the consensus74% (26 of 35 open)65% (42 of 65 open)no open consensus position71% (70 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • F1 +18 pts n=106, ROI −11%
  • MMA +28 pts n=20, ROI +36%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=278, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNFL −3 pts, n=19——NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won77% of 624 at avg 65¢, ROI +3%—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 18% of 143)—12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 77% of 35)—6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 88% of 94)—65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 99% of 352)—18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDavidShekelferrariChampions2026joseph00677ndb1
Will Mississippi Rebels win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K——Yes $127
Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4——Yes $16
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
same side · consensus No
No $189——No $170