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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorpprimmS-Works
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (7602–6859, n=14461)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL—$4.1M$3.6M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #969PM monthly #10PM monthly #52PM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)66% (107 of 161 open)63% (5 of 8 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +5 pts n=197, ROI +7%
  • NBA +6 pts n=73, ROI +2%
  • NFL +7 pts n=47, ROI +16%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicCrypto −10 pts, n=22Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won64% of 627 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 15% of 110)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 47% of 100)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 57% of 158)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 95% of 259)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorpprimmS-Works
Jets vs. Chiefs
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Jets $67Chiefs $21K—
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $168Lions $14K—