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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ByteBadger92e46m3HauchnSineNooneEI
Record (consensus markets)no settled market17% (156–789, n=945)no settled market100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL—$536K$117K$111K
Tracked asPM monthly #897PM monthly #2PM monthly #143PM monthly #106
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)73% (322 of 440 open)50% (7 of 14 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +45 pts n=124, ROI +67%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1174, ROI +26%
  • NBA +14 pts n=146, ROI +19%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −6 pts, n=17Finance −1 pts, n=121—
Settled positions, side won—62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30%10% of 122 at avg 11¢, ROI −2%83% of 1141 at avg 54¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢—38% (won 18% of 2197)89% (won 2% of 108)5% (won 62% of 61)
Entries 30–50¢—7% (won 53% of 397)6% (won 43% of 7)35% (won 75% of 397)
Entries 50–70¢—9% (won 71% of 531)1% (won 100% of 1)43% (won 88% of 492)
Entries 70¢ and up—46% (won 97% of 2679)5% (won 100% of 6)17% (won 95% of 191)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.