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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Brokie | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (360–241, n=601) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 48% (14365–15875, n=30240) |
| Consensus PnL | $297K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #689 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (48 of 61 open) | 72% (59 of 82 open) | 52% (17 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Economy −11 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 565 at avg 54¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 33% (won 12% of 185) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 55% of 64) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 76% of 78) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 95% of 238) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Brokie | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.9K | No $26K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $10K | Yes $1.9K | — |