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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Brokie | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (394–361, n=755) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | $286K | $3.3M | $4.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #967 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #114 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (48 of 61 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 55% (86 of 157 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Economy −6 pts, n=17 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 602 at avg 54¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 33% (won 13% of 198) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 54% of 70) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 77% of 87) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 95% of 247) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Brokie | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.9K | — | No $24K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $11K | — | Yes $1.7K | — |