Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankprimmpuggius-maximus-iiRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)no settled market47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M—$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #48—PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus78% (28 of 36 open)53% (10 of 19 open)no open consensus position57% (46 of 81 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%—94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)—10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)41% (won 99% of 412)—22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)50% (won 99% of 503)—35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)—33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankprimmpuggius-maximus-iiRN1
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $837Ravens $4—Jaguars $2.9K
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.1KRavens $510—Jaguars $180
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $292K——Jaguars $9.3K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $194K——Jaguars $2.0K
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $4.9K—Jaguars $3.7K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.0K—Over $1.4K
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
—James Madison $2.2K—Southern Miss $616
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Over $890
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.8K—Over $244
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $1.1K—UTSA $226
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $92K——Ravens $3.3K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $42K—Florida Atlantic $19K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $3.5K——Warriors $520
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $1.2K—Ravens $765
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3KOver $65——
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $94—Ravens $1.1K
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $293——Ravens $636
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $47—Southern Miss $498