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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankprimmRadioCCODUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)40% (124–189, n=313)50% (20651–20452, n=41103)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$31K$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #53PM monthly #963PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)no open consensus position81% (157 of 194 open)68% (30 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic——Soccer −1 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%40% of 248 at avg 20¢, ROI +8%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)73% (won 23% of 182)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)41% (won 99% of 418)10% (won 81% of 26)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)49% (won 99% of 504)13% (won 94% of 31)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)4% (won 100% of 9)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankprimmRadioCCODUpTheBlues
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $78K—Yes $1.4K—