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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankprimmRN1WagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)50% (1120–1127, n=2247)47% (14272–15777, n=30049)95% (13669–684, n=14353)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.6M$14.8M$104K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #51PM monthly #27 + pinnedPM monthly #953
Sides with the consensus81% (22 of 27 open)34% (11 of 32 open)58% (45 of 78 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=7019, ROI +14%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 7019 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)4% (won 71% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5673)9% (won 91% of 636)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9163)11% (won 97% of 771)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)76% (won 100% of 5361)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankprimmRN1WagerWizard
Nebraska vs. Illinois: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $13KUnder $13K—
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $12KYes $34
Spread: Nebraska (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
—Nebraska $1.8KIllinois $2.2K—
New Mexico vs. Nevada
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
—Nevada $1.5KNew Mexico $2.3K—
Spread: Illinois (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
—Nebraska $15Illinois $3.2K—
Spread: New Mexico (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
—Nevada $787New Mexico $1.5K—
Spread: Illinois (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
—Nebraska $663Illinois $1.5K—
Spread: Illinois (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
—Nebraska $1.1KIllinois $990—
Spread: Illinois (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
—Nebraska $272Illinois $1.5K—
Spread: Illinois (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
—Nebraska $1.1KIllinois $416—
Spread: Illinois (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
—Nebraska $925Illinois $520—
Spread: Arizona (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—TCU $481Arizona $640—
Spread: New Mexico (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
—Nevada $259New Mexico $701—
Atlante FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $129Over $63
TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $219Over $921—
Spread: Nebraska (-6.5)
same side · consensus Illinois
—Illinois $194Illinois $770—
New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 35.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $142Over $112—