Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBanknehcnehc
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)61% (4024–2617, n=6641)
Consensus PnL$9.4M-$859K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #633
Sides with the consensus55% (11 of 20 open)80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Politics −7 pts, n=125
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%63% of 8890 at avg 64¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)1% (won 20% of 92)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)25% (won 44% of 2260)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)40% (won 55% of 3534)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)34% (won 87% of 3004)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.