← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | nehcnehc | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 61% (4006–2605, n=6611) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $5.6M | -$860K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #627 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (39 of 57 open) | no open consensus position | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Politics −7 pts, n=125 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 63% of 8890 at avg 64¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 1% (won 20% of 92) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 25% (won 44% of 2260) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 40% (won 55% of 3534) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 34% (won 87% of 3004) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | nehcnehc |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $11K | — | Yes $65K |