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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | twe2nty | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 65% (901–484, n=1385) | 75% (191–65, n=256) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $4.4M | -$16K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #101 | was PM monthly #956 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (23 of 34 open) | 70% (106 of 151 open) | 75% (30 of 40 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=118 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 71% of 246 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 21% (won 4% of 52) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 5% (won 8% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 4% (won 60% of 10) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 70% (won 96% of 171) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | twe2nty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $88K | — | Yes $14K |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | No $335K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $278K | Yes $11K | — |