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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | twe2nty | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (989–573, n=1562) | 73% (191–69, n=260) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $5.3M | $3.2M | -$19K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #91 | PM monthly #861 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (26 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (54 of 75 open) | 81% (22 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=118 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 72% of 257 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 21% (won 4% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 5% (won 8% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 4% (won 64% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 70% (won 97% of 180) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | twe2nty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $72K | — | — | Yes $11K |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |