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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | twe2nty | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6461–6057, n=12518) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 74% (192–69, n=261) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | $4.8M | -$11K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #95 | PM monthly #863 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 70% (127 of 182 open) | 72% (52 of 72 open) | 80% (20 of 25 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=118 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 72% of 258 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 21% (won 4% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 5% (won 8% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 5% (won 67% of 12) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 70% (won 97% of 180) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | twe2nty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $53K | — | — | Yes $11K |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | No $337K | — |