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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1TheWindKnowsmyName
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)63% (990–573, n=1563)67% (182–89, n=271)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M-$102K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #92was PM monthly #953
Sides with the consensus85% (23 of 27 open)73% (53 of 73 open)52% (125 of 241 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%90% of 186 at avg 69¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 15% of 168)12% (won 36% of 22)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)20% (won 39% of 256)14% (won 92% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)24% (won 58% of 314)12% (won 96% of 23)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)43% (won 93% of 550)62% (won 99% of 115)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1TheWindKnowsmyName
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $407KNo $335KYes $813
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $62KNo $55