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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | TheWindKnowsmyName | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (555–663, n=1218) | 65% (882–468, n=1350) | 70% (165–70, n=235) | 50% (19555–19619, n=39174) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $4.2M | -$96K | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #143 | was PM monthly #953 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (20 of 31 open) | 78% (25 of 32 open) | 55% (148 of 268 open) | 64% (32 of 50 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 127 at avg 68¢, ROI +28% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 9% (won 64% of 11) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 17% (won 95% of 21) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 14% (won 94% of 18) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 61% (won 99% of 77) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | TheWindKnowsmyName | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $407K | — | Yes $1.2K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2028 elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $49 | No $186 | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $14K | — | Yes $2.1K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $12K | — | No $384 | — |