← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $4.2M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #139 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 75% (12 of 16 open) | 59% (126 of 212 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $2.8K | UMass $358 |
| Spread: Toledo (-27.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | — | Toledo $2.4K | Sacramento State $631 |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.9K | Under $3 |
| Spread: Toledo (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | — | Toledo $996 | Sacramento State $524 |
| Spread: Ball State (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $762 | UMass $150 |
| Spread: Toledo (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Toledo $277 | Sacramento State $466 |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.4K | Over $116 |
| Spread: Ball State (-4.5) same side · consensus UMass | — | — | Ball State $22 | Ball State $445 |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $66 | — | — | Hawks $128 |