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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | nehcnehc | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 63% (993–576, n=1569) | 61% (4134–2660, n=6794) | 50% (20890–20591, n=41481) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $4.8M | -$722K | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #702 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 67% (52 of 78 open) | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Politics −7 pts, n=125 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 63% of 9048 at avg 63¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 1% (won 18% of 93) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 26% (won 44% of 2311) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 40% (won 55% of 3625) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 87% of 3019) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | nehcnehc | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | No $337K | — | — |