← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | nehcnehc | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 65% (870–459, n=1329) | 61% (4010–2608, n=6618) | 47% (12984–14433, n=27417) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $4.2M | -$851K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #630 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (34 of 51 open) | 74% (25 of 34 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 42% (13 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | Politics −7 pts, n=125 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 63% of 8890 at avg 64¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 1% (won 20% of 92) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 25% (won 44% of 2260) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 40% (won 55% of 3534) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 34% (won 87% of 3004) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.