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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RayGuy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 63% (989–573, n=1562) | 86% (31–5, n=36) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.2M | $10K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #91 | PM monthly #685 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (27 of 35 open) | 72% (54 of 75 open) | 68% (195 of 286 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 34 at avg 77¢, ROI +19% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 6% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 3% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 6% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 85% (won 100% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RayGuy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | No $335K | — |