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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RayGuy | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4518–3290, n=7808) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (988–572, n=1560) | 89% (33–4, n=37) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $3.2M | $7.2K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #671 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (13 of 19 open) | 76% (26 of 34 open) | 75% (100 of 133 open) | 72% (348 of 482 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 34 at avg 77¢, ROI +19% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 6% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 3% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 6% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 85% (won 100% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RayGuy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | Yes $78K | — | — |
| Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $173 | No $445 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | No $335K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $278K | Yes $11K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $56 | No $90K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $1.0K | — | — |