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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RayGuy | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6455–6056, n=12511) | 63% (993–577, n=1570) | 83% (29–6, n=35) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | $4.8M | $10K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #94 | PM monthly #647 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 69% (116 of 168 open) | 70% (51 of 73 open) | 77% (168 of 218 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 35 at avg 78¢, ROI +18% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 6% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 3% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 3% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 89% (won 100% of 31) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RayGuy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | No $337K | — |