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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RayGuy | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 63% (992–576, n=1568) | 85% (29–5, n=34) | 50% (20888–20588, n=41476) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.2M | $10K | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #675 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 70% (51 of 73 open) | 68% (165 of 241 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 34 at avg 77¢, ROI +19% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 6% (won 50% of 2) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 3% (won 100% of 1) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 6% (won 50% of 2) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 85% (won 100% of 29) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RayGuy | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | No $335K | — | — |