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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | tugator | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) | 13% (35–239, n=274) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $4.2M | $14.8M | $35K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #146 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #680 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 74% (35 of 47 open) | 65% (136 of 208 open) | 80% (74 of 92 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | Crypto −34 pts, n=189 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 25% of 225 at avg 54¢, ROI −20% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 5% (won 0% of 11) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 74% (won 10% of 167) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 5% (won 36% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 16% (won 100% of 36) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | tugator |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $642K | No $234K | No $6.5K | — |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $56K | — | No $30K | — |