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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | strider- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 66% (901–474, n=1375) | 47% (13863–15370, n=29233) | 88% (72–10, n=82) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $4.5M | $14.8M | $45K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #100 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #783 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (29 of 34 open) | 73% (110 of 151 open) | 48% (14 of 29 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=28 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 83% of 81 at avg 74¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 15% (won 25% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 7% (won 50% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 11% (won 78% of 9) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 67% (won 100% of 54) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | strider- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $87K | — | — | Yes $20K |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | No $335K | — | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $278K | Yes $11K | — | — |