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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | PollsR4Dummies | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 61% (20–13, n=33) | 47% (14382–15903, n=30285) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $4.8M | $251K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #985 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 72% (59 of 82 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 53% (44 of 83 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 66% of 29 at avg 32¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 55% (won 50% of 16) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 17% (won 60% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 28% (won 100% of 8) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | PollsR4Dummies | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | No $337K | — | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $31K | — | Under $6.7K |