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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | xxNyx | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 48% (14167–15642, n=29809) | 85% (1304–235, n=1539) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $5.3M | $14.8M | $91K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 43% (10 of 23 open) | 92% (67 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Tech −1 pts, n=56 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 81% of 1887 at avg 79¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 13% (won 9% of 250) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 5% (won 52% of 91) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 6% (won 57% of 109) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 76% (won 97% of 1437) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | xxNyx |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $53K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |