← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.
| BreakTheBank | ifyouloveme | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 55% (311–258, n=569) | 47% (14055–15545, n=29600) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $31K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #609 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (27 of 34 open) | 66% (50 of 76 open) | 52% (16 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=86 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 51% of 495 at avg 48¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 38% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 51% of 77) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 59% of 79) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 31% (won 91% of 152) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ifyouloveme | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $90K | Yes $1.5K | — |