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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ifyouloveme | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 54% (267–231, n=498) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $26K | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #319 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #22 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (42 of 65 open) | 66% (41 of 62 open) | no open consensus position | 58% (57 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=82 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 50% of 455 at avg 47¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 38% (won 15% of 175) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 16% (won 52% of 71) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 16% (won 58% of 73) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 30% (won 90% of 136) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.