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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1petanimal
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)64% (1101–632, n=1733)36% (720–1298, n=2018)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$4.6M$90K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #109was PM monthly #283
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)60% (6 of 10 open)73% (76 of 104 open)97% (33 of 34 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147Elections ±0 pts, n=822
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%7% of 2076 at avg 7¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 187)95% (won 4% of 1968)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)19% (won 39% of 269)2% (won 36% of 33)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 57% of 328)2% (won 75% of 44)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)44% (won 94% of 622)1% (won 87% of 31)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1petanimal
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $425K—No $350K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K—Yes $12K—