← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | machbut | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 43% (11687–15248, n=26935) | 61% (23–15, n=38) | 48% (19424–21150, n=40574) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | -$9.5M | $34K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #924 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 62% (18 of 29 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 74% of 34 at avg 72¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 9% (won 0% of 3) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 15% (won 40% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 18% (won 67% of 6) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 59% (won 95% of 20) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | machbut | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter | — | Alafia Ayeni $234 | — | Edward Winter $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette same side · consensus Janice Tjen | — | Janice Tjen $34K | — | Janice Tjen $54K |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh | — | Keisuke Saitoh $38 | — | Keisuke Saitoh $13K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 |