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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026joseph00677MadridTime
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)45% (10–12, n=22)46% (1332–1580, n=2912)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.1M$5.3M$42K
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #87PM monthly #3PM monthly #141
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)74% (20 of 27 open)0% (0 of 1 open)54% (45 of 84 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 792 at avg 71¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 100% of 58)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 100% of 158)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—65% (won 73% of 11)15% (won 100% of 120)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—18% (won 67% of 3)58% (won 100% of 456)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026joseph00677MadridTime
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2.1MNo $54K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Carlos Alcaraz $8.9K—Ben Shelton $37K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel Cerundolo
—Juan Manuel Cerundolo $24K—Elias Ymer $2.7K
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $627—Over $50
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Crystal Palace FC
—Liverpool FC $529—Liverpool FC $2